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UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti has been cautious about the potential for a U.S. economic recession, despite recent market turmoil. While acknowledging the possibility of a slowdown, Ermotti stressed the need for greater clarity on macroeconomic indicators before definitively predicting a recession. The banking giant expects more market volatility in the coming months, driven by factors such as the U.S. presidential election and ongoing geopolitical tensions. The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy path also remains a key uncertainty, with UBS expecting a rate cut of at least 50 basis points this year. As the global economy faces these challenges, investors must prepare…

July saw a moderation in inflation rates, with the annual inflation rate decelerating to 2.9%, a figure last seen in early 2021, according to the latest data from the Labor Department. This slowdown is in line with expectations and is largely attributed to rising housing costs, which suggests a potential reduction in interest rates by September. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures the average change over time in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of consumer goods and services, rose 0.2% in July. This increase brought the annual increase to 2.9%, slightly below the 3.0% forecast by…